Advisory: Significant Coastal Flooding Risk (Jan 4, 2026)

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Advisory: Significant Coastal Flooding Risk (Jan 4, 2026)

Environment Canada has issued a special weather statement for British Columbia’s South Coast, warning of unusually high water levels that could lead to flooding in low-lying areas. The peak risk is centered around the morning high tide on Sunday, January 4.

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Why Is This Happening?

A “perfect storm” of three distinct factors is coming together to push sea levels higher than normal:

  1. King Tides: We are currently experiencing some of the highest astronomical tides of the year.
  2. Storm Surge: A strong low-pressure system is moving over the coast. Lower air pressure allows the ocean surface to expand and rise.
  3. Onshore Winds: Strong winds are expected to push additional water toward the shoreline, creating significant wave run-up.

Expected Impacts

  • Seawall Overtopping: High waves and water may breach seawalls and coastal barriers.
  • Infrastructure Risk: Possible flooding of coastal roads, parking lots, and basements in low-lying neighborhoods.
  • Marine Debris: Expect heavy logs and debris to be tossed onto shorelines and walkways.
  • Erosion: Intense wave action may cause significant erosion to beaches and coastal bluffs.

Vulnerable Regions

RegionSpecific Areas of Concern
Metro VancouverBoundary Bay, West Vancouver seawalls, Locarno/Spanish Banks, and the Fraser River Delta.
Southern Vancouver IslandVictoria’s Inner Harbour, Oak Bay, and low-lying areas in Sooke and Sidney.
Central CoastEast coast of Vancouver Island (Parksville to Campbell River) and the Sunshine Coast.

Safety Recommendations

  • Keep Your Distance: Stay away from the water’s edge. Large “sneaker waves” can pull people or pets into the cold water unexpectedly.
  • Protect Property: Residents in flood-prone areas should consider moving valuables to higher ground and checking that perimeter drains are clear.
  • Monitor Updates: Coastal conditions can change rapidly as the storm system moves through.

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