President Trump is currently evaluating a high-stakes menu of military and intelligence options aimed at the Iranian regime. This briefing follows a sharp escalation in Iran’s internal unrest and a hardening of the White House’s stance against Tehran’s leadership.
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- Precision Targeting: Plans include strikes on the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) infrastructure specifically linked to the suppression of domestic protests.
- Strategic Deterrence: While Trump has ruled out a large-scale ground invasion, he has authorized preparations for “punitive” air strikes designed to cripple the regime’s internal security capabilities.
The “Shadow War” (Covert Options)
Recognizing the limitations of physical force, the administration is prioritizing non-traditional warfare:
- Cyber Disruption: Launching digital attacks to disable the regime’s surveillance and communication grids.
- Technological Support: The U.S. is facilitating the deployment of Starlink terminals and other tools to ensure Iranian activists can communicate despite government-imposed internet blackouts.
- Narrative Control: Expanding psychological operations to counter state-run propaganda and bolster the visibility of the opposition movement.
The Dual-Track Approach: Force vs. Negotiating
Despite the military posturing, a unique “back-channel” dynamic has emerged:
- Economic Ultimatums: Trump has introduced a massive 25% tariff on any nation conducting business with Iran, intended to drain the regime’s remaining foreign reserves.
- Direct Outreach: Even as military options are discussed, Iranian officials have reportedly sought direct contact with U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff. Trump has signaled a willingness to talk but maintains that military action remains a “live” option if the crackdown on protesters continues.
Key Context: The “Red Line”
The current tension is driven by the internal collapse of order within Iran. With the death toll from recent protests surpassing 600, the Trump administration has designated the safety of Iranian civilians as a primary U.S. interest, framing any further violence by the regime as a trigger for the options listed above.
